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Posts Tagged ‘ oil ’

Offshore drilling

by | September 22, 2008 | In environment No Comments

One of the so-called “hot” topics this year seems to be the offshore drilling to fix our problems.  While it may seem to many that it’s a great idea, or just really useful, there’s a number of things to consider.

Based on numerous shows involving oil drilling rigs (see any Discovery/Science based channel shows), take years to build and deploy.  Rigs can be moved from one location to another, but that in itself has two things against it — it takes time, and you are no longer drilling for oil where the rig was originally.

But let’s say you get a rig up in a year.  It’ll only start to help then, not now.  Prices now won’t be lower, if anything they’d be a bit higher as the companies will be offsetting their costs for the new (or moved) rig. Want a cut in our gas prices now?  Stop driving as much.  As we start to deplete our oil reserves it becomes more and more important to save what we have left for everything we use it for other than gas.  No oil, no civilization.  Low gas prices, and people will start driving places more — which will cause us to use oil even faster.

All things considered, there’s no good reason to want offshore drilling.  It won’t help now, won’t really help in the future (unless we completely deplete all current reserves).

Sad to think it might just cause one candidate to win the presidency.

That’s right everyone, if you drill it, it won’t make it cheaper.  And it doesn’t even take a brain to realize why:

  • It’d cost millions to find the oil and find a way to reach it
  • It’d cost millions to reach the oil once we find it
  • It’d cost millions to get the oil pumping to the surface and onto ships to be offloaded on shore
  • Oh, and it’d take up to 5 years (one year at best) to even get the oil to us.

So after the price of gas keeps on going higher, and higher, and higher…. we’ll get the “low, low” prices of more than we’re spending now if the oil is found.  But here’s the thing.  We need to stop looking for oil for gas.  We need oil for so many other things (no more roads, cars, motors, problems with getting new homes, medicine, clothing, etc), that we need to move away from the fuel now.

We have the technology, and in all honesty not everyone needs a car.  Not everyone has a car.  If you can walk, and don’t have more than a three mile trip to work — you don’t even need wheels.  But I digress.

We could find out that the center of the earth isn’t magma — it’s really oil — and it won’t do a single thing for gas prices today, next month, or even next year.  It’ll be so far into the “gas price” future that when the discount does finally hit, we’ll literally be paying more for gas than we are now and considering it a “low” price!

I remember paying under a $1 for gas, and thinking $1.14 was too expensive.  The it became standard, then $1.14 was cheap.  Then $2 was the new $1.  Then $3 became the new $2.  Right now at the pumps — I look forward to only having to spend $4/gal for gas — because it’s “cheap”.  A year ago papers put in “gas prices to hit all time high over $4!”  Now it’s “Gas ONLY $4 might be around the corner!”  Assuming gas prices will raise $.50/yr, if it took 5 years to get a break on gas — gas will be about $6.50/gal standard.  Do you really think they’d cut it back to the old gas prices?

When the oil companies boast “record profits” you know there’s not a shortage so much — but it does make a person wonder: are the oil companies trying to get people to stop buying gas?  A number are investing in alternative fuels (even putting them on site).  Makes a person wonder what they know, and aren’t telling others.  It’s almost as if the oil companies know there’s a oil problem — and they’re gouging everyone now so they can keep afloat while they convert their entire business to other sources.

But then, maybe they just really do want to rake in so much cash they could build a house from $100 bills and have it be structually sound.

This is perhaps one of the most debated and argued points in the world.  You’ve got oil companies not really saying too much (or painting a happy picture about oil), and other organizations saying we’re close to hitting the peak or saying we’ve already peaked.  People say that we should drill everywhere for oil, put up oil rigs everyplace in the word and pump the earth dry before we say how much time is left — and they yell and complain about the environmentalists that don’t want it done.  But what it comes right down to is no one really knows.  There is no chart to see just how much oil there is left.  No asking the earth “so how much you got left?”  We have to rely on tests and known reserves.  Known reserves… that’s always the “slimy” way to avoid the question.

Oh they always seem to toss that little gem into the estimates, it’s like the phrase “the bible says so!” — once it’s uttered, nothing else matters and the conversation must stop.  Known reserves?  We could deplete the entire planet of oil, but they’ll still say “known reserves”.  You can’t go basing when to stop using something based on the unknown — especially when it’s not a renewable resource.  One day, there won’t be any left.

And here’s the worst thing about the oil:  they always use fuel as the reason.  It’s like people have it burned into their brains (perhaps the gas prices have caused this) that oil is used only for fuel.

But fuel is only one of probably thousands of things that oil is used for or in in one form or another.  Just for a few quick examples, imagine life without these things:

  • Styrofoam
  • Motors (for lubrication — so every motor, power generators, washing machines, etc)
  • Plastic (including wiring covering)
  • Asphalt
  • Paint
  • Vinyl
  • Polyester
  • Basically, almost everything we have today is either made with an oil product, relies on oil for the lubrication of machines to make the product, or relies on oil to transport the product

We’re so dependent on oil that if oil were to disappear — humans would follow shortly thereafter.  Now I don’t mean this as a “everyone will die!” but a huge percentage of humans would die as we’d be unable to transport food and lose all of our machines and power.  Anyone relying on medication would die, anyone on machines would as well.  Anyone living far away (say as far as a horse and buggy could go in a day) from the food source would die from lack of food.   While cities are frequently close to bodies of water — there wouldn’t be enough food to support the populations.

We’d be thrust back into ancient times where stone buildings were built, and steam power was used to drive things.  We couldn’t recycle existing products, nor could we really dig for new as the machines used for digging wouldn’t be able to run.  We have the technology right now to drastically offset our oil use, but we don’t use it.  Green buildings and such don’t get funding because it’s “too risky” as the expense is currently high, and no guarantee for a return (as a lower-power consuming building doesn’t make money in itself).  Just little things, even building air and electric powered cars, could drastically cut back how much oil we use.

And I know what some of you are saying “but electric cars can only go like 200 miles on a charge!!!”  If you really have over a 100 mile one-way commute to work, you should consider moving closer to your job.  That would mean you’re spending close to $32/day for gas right now (25mpg @ 200 miles = 8 gallons @ $4/gal for gas).  It also means you’d be on the road for over 3 hours a day driving at 60mph.  Most people would have a commute under 50 miles — that means you could go almost 2 days without a recharge (some could go a week or two).  And what’s the hassle of plugging in the car at night?

And using the excuse of “we have plenty [oil] left for 20-100 years!” is the worst thing to say as once it’s gone, we have nothing else.  Failure to plan now for something that isn’t an infinite resource will be humanity’s downfall.  And you know what?  If we started to develop and fund renewable resource items — we’d create more jobs.  Just think, we could save humanity, save the world — and even potentially eliminate unemployment as a side effect.

But it probably won’t happen.  People are getting too much money from oil.  And as the oil runs dry, and they keep on searching for more and more — they’ll keep on bringing in more and more money.  They’ll get rich, humans will die.  All the money in the world can’t help you if civilization dies.  But the rich oil tycoons will be remembered — they’ll be the first ones to “accidentally” die when the oil runs out.